Major grocery chains commonly lock in turkey prices with producers in advance, and retailers often sell holiday turkeys at steep discounts to attract shoppers.
November 24, 2025
high
process
Common retail contracting and promotional practices around seasonal products.
When import tariffs on goods are reduced or removed, wholesalers and retailers may partially or gradually pass along the resulting cost savings to consumers rather than fully passing them through immediately.
November 15, 2025
high
temporal
Typical market pass-through behavior following changes in trade policy.
The 'direct import' retail model involves retailers placing large orders months ahead and using their own logistics operations to import goods into the U.S. to boost margins.
October 23, 2025
high
process
Definition of a common retail sourcing and import model.
The 'domestic shipping' sourcing model involves suppliers handling importing and warehousing while retailers place smaller, closer-to-need orders.
October 23, 2025
high
process
Alternative sourcing model that shifts import logistics to suppliers.
Tariffs and trade uncertainty can prompt retailers to shift import responsibilities to suppliers, causing retailers to order later and in smaller, more frequent batches while suppliers hold more inventory and face increased exposure to customs- and inventory-related risks, a pattern especially evident for discretionary goods such as toys.
October 23, 2025
high
causal
Describes a durable market response linking trade policy risk to changes in sourcing and inventory allocation.
The National Retail Federation's 2025 holiday forecast projects total U.S. holiday sales will exceed $1 trillion for the first time.
January 01, 2025
high
temporal
Annual holiday sales forecast issued by the National Retail Federation (NRF).
When Congress drafted the PLCAA in 2005, it cited as an example potential liability for a retailer that knowingly sold a firearm to a person banned from owning one, such as a convicted felon.
January 01, 2005
high
temporal
Legislative intent example illustrating an exception to immunity under the PLCAA.
Retailers commonly hire temporary seasonal workers during the holiday selling season to staff distribution centers, serve shoppers in stores, and construct holiday displays.
high
timeless
Describes typical retail labor practices around the holiday sales period.
Economic uncertainty and import tariffs can lead retailers to delay, reduce, or time hires more closely to when staff are actually needed for seasonal work.
high
timeless
Macroeconomic and trade policy conditions influence firms' staffing decisions for seasonal periods.
Retailers commonly hire seasonal workers to handle increased holiday shopping demand, typically concentrating hiring in the period from November 1 to December 31.
high
temporal
Typical timing and purpose of seasonal retail hiring for the holiday shopping season.
Retailers may limit new seasonal hiring by asking existing store employees to pick up additional shifts during the holiday season.
high
operational
Staffing strategy used to meet peak seasonal demand without adding as many temporary hires.
Higher import tariffs tend to raise the prices of imported goods because retailers often pass some of the additional tariff costs onto consumers.
high
causal
Economic pass-through mechanism between tariffs and consumer prices.
When retailers face higher input costs such as increased tariffs, they are likely to be more selective in discounting by reducing the number of items discounted and the depth of discounts to preserve margins.
medium
causal
Anticipated retailer pricing and promotional strategies under higher cost pressure.
Retailers often expand and promote private-label (store-brand) product lines to offer lower consumer prices while preserving retailer margins.
high
process
Private-label strategies are a common retailer response to price-sensitive shoppers and competitive pressure.
An affordability crisis among consumers reduces purchasing power and creates challenges for retailers' sales performance.
high
economic
Economic pressure on consumers (an affordability crisis) tends to weigh on retail sales.
Implementation of tariffs by a government can increase costs for retailers and add to operational challenges in the retail sector.
high
policy-impact
Trade policy changes such as new tariffs can raise input costs or complicate sourcing for retailers.