A 2025 KFF estimate projected that roughly 22 million people who relied on premium tax credits could see their Affordable Care Act plan costs more than double in 2026 if those premium tax credits expire.
January 01, 2026
high
temporal
Projected impact on consumers if ACA premium tax credits expire.
A 2025 analysis by KFF found that insurers were proposing to raise monthly premiums for Affordable Care Act marketplace coverage by an average of 26% across the United States.
October 30, 2025
high
temporal
KFF published an analysis of proposed insurer rate changes for upcoming ACA marketplace plan years.
A 2025 KFF calculation estimated that monthly premiums would increase an average of 114% for marketplace coverage if enhanced pandemic-era premium tax credits were allowed to expire.
October 30, 2025
high
temporal
KFF modeled premium outcomes with and without the temporary enhanced premium tax credits enacted during the COVID-19 pandemic.
As of 2025, nearly 24 million people received health insurance through subsidized Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces, according to the health-care research nonprofit KFF.
October 16, 2025
high
statistical
KFF is a health-care research nonprofit; 'subsidized marketplaces' refers to ACA exchange plans that receive premium tax credits.
A 2025 KFF analysis of insurers' 2026 rate filings estimated that average premium payments by Affordable Care Act marketplace enrollees would increase by about 114% if enhanced premium tax credits expired.
October 12, 2025
high
statistical
KFF analyzed insurer rate filings for 2026 to model the impact of ending enhanced ACA premium tax credits.
A 2025 KFF poll found that 78% of the public, including majorities of Democrats, independents, and Republicans, supported Congress extending enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits beyond 2025.
October 12, 2025
high
statistical
Public opinion polling on extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits.
A 2025 KFF poll found that 59% of U.S. adults disapproved of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s moves as U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services, with disapproval concentrated among Democrats and Independents.
October 09, 2025
high
temporal
National public-opinion polling on approval of a federal health official.
A 2025 KFF poll found a partisan split in beliefs about President Trump's statements on acetaminophen (Tylenol): 59% of Democrats said the statements were "definitely false," while 56% of Republicans said the statements were either "definitely true" or "probably true."
October 09, 2025
high
temporal
Polling on public beliefs about health-related claims made by a political leader.
A 2025 KFF analysis reported a 24% decline in Democrats' trust in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's vaccine information between 2023 and 2025.
October 09, 2025
high
temporal
Measured change over a two-year period in partisan trust toward federal public-health agency vaccine information.
A 2025 KFF poll found that more than eight in ten Democrats reported trusting professional medical organizations such as the American Medical Association or the American Academy of Pediatrics for health information, while about half of Republicans reported trusting those organizations.
October 09, 2025
high
temporal
Partisan differences in trust toward professional medical organizations as sources of health information.
A 2025 KFF analysis found that 80% of all Affordable Care Act premium tax credits benefited enrollees in states that Donald Trump won.
October 07, 2025
high
statistical
Distribution of ACA premium tax credit benefits across states as analyzed by KFF.
A 2025 KFF analysis of Congressional Budget Office estimates found that policy changes related to immigrants with legal status would increase federal spending by $131 billion.
October 07, 2025
high
statistical
Fiscal estimate from a 2025 analysis forecasting federal spending impacts of immigrant-related policy changes.
A 2025 analysis by nonprofit health research firm KFF found that the average monthly premium for a mid-level (silver) Affordable Care Act marketplace plan increased 26% in 2025 to $625 per month.
January 01, 2025
high
temporal
Average monthly premium for ACA mid-level (silver) plans reported by KFF.
A 2025 KFF analysis identified main drivers of recent ACA premium increases as increased demand for costly treatments including GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, higher prices from hospitals and other providers, and insurer assumptions that enrollment could decline if premium tax credits expire.
January 01, 2025
high
temporal
Reported contributors to rising ACA marketplace premiums.
The KFF 2024 Employer Health Benefits Survey found that workers typically contribute between 16% and 25% of the total cost of employer-sponsored health insurance in 2024, depending on whether they have single or family coverage.
January 01, 2024
high
temporal
Employee share of employer-sponsored insurance costs from a 2024 survey.
In 2023, Americans spent an average of $1,514 on out-of-pocket health care costs, an inflation-adjusted increase of 9% from 2020, according to KFF.
January 01, 2023
high
temporal
KFF estimate of national average out-of-pocket health spending and change since 2020