A Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) analysis estimated that average Affordable Care Act marketplace premiums would rise from $888 in 2025 to $1,904 in 2026 if enhanced premium tax credits expired.
January 01, 2026
high
temporal
Projected change in average ACA marketplace premiums with expiration of enhanced tax credits
The Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) projected that average premiums on the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces would rise by 26% for the 2026 plan year, which KFF described as the largest rate increase since 2018.
January 01, 2026
high
statistical
KFF projection of marketplace premium changes for the 2026 plan year.
A 2025 analysis by the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) estimated that if enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits expire, the average premium cost for subsidized enrollees would more than double.
November 10, 2025
high
temporal
Quantitative estimate of the effect on average premiums for marketplace enrollees if enhanced subsidies are allowed to lapse.
The 2025 KFF analysis indicated that expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits would disproportionately drive large absolute premium increases for a relatively small number of higher-earning marketplace enrollees while producing smaller increases for a larger number of lower-earning enrollees.
November 10, 2025
high
temporal
Distributional impact on marketplace enrollees by income level if enhanced subsidies expire.
The Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) reported that in 2023 about one in five lawfully present immigrant adults in the United States were uninsured.
January 01, 2023
high
temporal
KFF analysis of health insurance coverage among lawfully present immigrants