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Exit Polls Put Swedish Center-Left Ahead, Project Parliamentary Majority

Exit polls from Swedish broadcaster SVT projected the center-left bloc led by Magdalena Andersson would win a parliamentary majority in Sweden on Sunday, September 13, 2026.[1] If confirmed, the result would unseat Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's three-party center-right coalition and deny the Sweden Democrats an expanded role in government.[1]

SVT's exit poll projection showed Kristersson's coalition, which has relied on outside support from the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats, trailing the left-of-center alliance.[1] Sweden's election authority was expected to release the first official preliminary results around 1900 GMT on Sunday.[1]

Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson had led the three-party center-right coalition into this election after taking office in 2022.[1] Kristersson previously said his Moderates would allow the Sweden Democrats into government if the right kept a majority, even if the Sweden Democrats became the larger party.[1] About 8 million eligible voters in a country of roughly 10.6 million were choosing 349 Riksdag seats, with a 4% threshold for representation.[1]

Analysts cautioned that exit polls can be overturned by the count, and final government formation will depend on the confirmed seat breakdown and post-election coalition talks.

  1. PBS News
European Elections Populism and Nationalist Parties
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📌 Key Facts

  • On Sunday, September 13, 2026, exit polls from Swedish broadcaster SVT projected the center-left bloc led by Magdalena Andersson winning a parliamentary majority.
  • Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's three-party center-right coalition, backed externally by the Sweden Democrats, is projected to lose to the left-of-center alliance.
  • First official preliminary results from Sweden's election authority are expected around 1900 GMT the same day.
  • Kristersson previously said his Moderates would allow the Sweden Democrats into government if the right kept a majority, even if they become the larger party.
  • Around 8 million voters in a country of about 10.6 million people were eligible to elect the 349-seat Riksdag, with a 4% threshold for representation.

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September 13, 2026