Enhanced severe storm risk over Twin Cities Monday with large hail, damaging winds
An enhanced severe-storm risk is expected across the Twin Cities Monday evening, with storms likely to develop after 4 p.m. and continue through the evening into the night, posing threats of large hail and damaging winds. Forecast highs are in the mid‑70s with light easterly winds around 10 mph; conditions should taper overnight, turn cooler into the 60s Tuesday, rebound to the 70s midweek with more shower/storm chances, then cool into the weekend.
📊 Relevant Data
Human-caused increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide are a primary driver of climate change in Minnesota, contributing to more frequent and intense severe storms.
Climate change in Minnesota — Wikipedia
From 1980 to 2024, Minnesota experienced 62 confirmed weather and climate disaster events, each with losses exceeding $1 billion.
Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters — National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Warmer air in Minnesota holds more moisture, providing additional fuel for thunderstorms and increasing their potential severity.
Severe Storm Potential Increasing In Minnesota Due To Climate Changes: Study — Patch
Extreme weather events such as flooding and heat waves are likely to become more acute in the southern half of Minnesota due to climate change.
Climate Change Trend Analysis — Minnesota Go
Lower-income urban neighborhoods in Minnesota experience higher surface temperatures, with 91% of communities of color having air-quality concerns above the state average.
Minnesota's Changing Climate: Risks & Impacts — Minnesota House of Representatives
📌 Key Facts
- Enhanced severe storm risk for the Twin Cities on Monday, with threats including large hail and damaging winds.
- Storms are expected to develop after 4 p.m. Monday, continue through the evening, and taper overnight.
- Monday’s highs are forecast in the mid‑70s across the Twin Cities with light easterly winds around 10 mph.
- Extended forecast through the week: Tuesday in the 60s; Wednesday in the 70s with more showers possible; Thursday near 75 and sunny; Friday upper‑70s with additional storms possible.
- Weekend cool‑down: temperatures drop to the upper‑40s Saturday and rebound to the mid‑50s on Sunday.
📰 Source Timeline (2)
Follow how coverage of this story developed over time
- Confirms forecast highs in the mid‑70s across the Twin Cities metro on Monday with light easterly winds around 10 mph.
- Narrows the expected storm development window to "after 4 p.m." Monday, with storms continuing through the evening before tapering overnight.
- Details the extended forecast: 60s on Tuesday, 70s Wednesday with more showers possible, near 75 and sunny Thursday, upper‑70s and more storms Friday, then a weekend cool‑down into the upper 40s Saturday and mid‑50s Sunday.