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Walz budget seeks $370M cut, sales‑tax trim, surge aid

Gov. Tim Walz has released his 2026 supplemental budget proposal, calling for $370 million in state spending cuts by FY 2029 while pairing them with a small statewide sales‑tax reduction and new money aimed squarely at Metro Surge fallout and Medicaid fraud. The plan would cut the general sales tax rate by 0.075% — touted as the first sales‑tax cut in state history — while expanding the Dependent Care Tax Credit by raising eligible expenses by $3,000 for one child and $6,000 for two or more kids under age 5, a direct pocket‑book issue for Twin Cities families. Walz proposes rental support and small‑business loans for people and businesses hit by Operation Metro Surge plus a $10 million fund to respond to future surge impacts, even as he talks up tougher gun laws, including an assault‑weapons ban and a fix to the state’s ghost‑gun loophole. On the fraud front, the budget would pour more money into DHS fraud‑detection and IT overhauls and beef up staffing in the Attorney General’s Medicaid Fraud Unit — the same systems now under fire for UCare’s collapse and CMS’s Medicaid deferrals. He also wants a new council on the future AI economy and a tax on social‑media tech companies, while claiming the package reduces the state’s projected structural deficit by about 20% and leaves a $1.8 billion balance in the 2028–29 biennium; how much of this survives the Legislature will determine what actually hits Twin Cities wallets and services.

Local Government Business & Economy

📌 Key Facts

  • Walz’s 2026 supplemental budget calls for $370 million in spending cuts in FY 2029, which his office says trims the structural deficit by nearly 20%.
  • The proposal includes a 0.075% cut to the statewide sales tax, billed as the first sales‑tax reduction in Minnesota history, and an expansion of the Dependent Care Tax Credit by $3,000 for one child and $6,000 for two or more under age 5.
  • Walz wants rental support, small‑business loans, and a $10 million response fund tied to Operation Metro Surge, alongside increased DHS fraud‑detection spending, updated DHS IT systems, and more staff for the Attorney General’s Medicaid Fraud Unit.
  • The budget also floats an assault‑weapons ban, a ghost‑gun fix, a new AI‑economy council, and a tax on social‑media tech companies, while projecting a $1.8 billion bottom‑line balance for FY 2028–29.

📊 Relevant Data

Operation Metro Surge caused an estimated $203 million in economic damage to Minneapolis in January 2026, including lost wages for people afraid to leave home and go to work, and financial losses to businesses.

Minneapolis grappling with over $200 million Metro Surge impact — KSTP

In Minnesota, approximately 89% of those charged in the Feeding Our Future fraud case, a major safety net program fraud scandal, are of Somali descent, while Somalis make up about 2% of the state's population, indicating significant overrepresentation.

Fact Check Team: Exploring the billions of alleged fraud in Minnesota — KRCR

Undocumented immigrants have a lower overall crime arrest rate compared to U.S.-born citizens, with drug crime arrest rates of 135 per 100,000 for undocumented versus 337.2 per 100,000 for U.S.-born.

Undocumented Immigrant Offending Rate Lower Than U.S.-Born Citizens’ Offending Rate — House Judiciary Committee

In Minnesota, Somali immigrants are overrepresented in certain crimes, including fraud, with higher per capita rates than natives according to analyses of state data.

Yes, Somali Immigrants Commit More Crime Than Natives — City Journal

A federal review found that Minnesota's Medicaid program has a lower rate of improper payments than the national average, with recent reforms aimed at detecting and preventing fraud.

Federal review determines that Minnesota’s Medicaid program sees lower rate of improper payments than national average — KTTC

📰 Source Timeline (1)

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March 17, 2026
7:14 PM
Gov. Walz calls for $370M spending cut in supplemental budget proposal
FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul by Howard.Thompson@fox.com (Howard Thompson)