February 25, 2026
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CBS Fact‑Checks Trump’s 2026 State of the Union Claims on Crime, Immigration and Jobs

CBS News examined several key assertions from President Trump’s 2026 State of the Union, confirming that preliminary data support his claim that the 2025 murder rate may have seen the largest recorded annual decline in U.S. history, likely dropping to about 4 homicides per 100,000 people—a low not seen in roughly 125 years, though official FBI data are still pending. The network rated as only partially true Trump’s statement that “in the past nine months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted,” noting that while Border Patrol reports essentially no releases at the southern border during that period, some migrants who crossed illegally may have been released later by ICE and an unknown number of “got‑aways” are never counted. CBS also labeled as misleading his boast that more Americans are working than ever, explaining that while the raw number of employed people has hit a record 158.6 million, that largely reflects population growth and the labor‑force participation rate is flat compared with late 2024. Social‑science researchers cited in the piece stress that the causes of the sharp homicide decline remain uncertain, and labor economists point out that headline employment records can hide a softer underlying job market, context that undercuts the speech’s triumphal tone. The fact‑check underscores how the administration is selectively leaning on favorable topline numbers while omitting caveats about methodology, population growth, and continued unlawful border crossings that still total thousands per month.

Donald Trump Economy and Labor Data Immigration & Demographic Change Crime and Public Safety Statistics

📌 Key Facts

  • The Council on Criminal Justice estimates the 2025 U.S. homicide rate may fall to about 4 per 100,000 people, likely the lowest level in available data back to 1900, supporting Trump’s claim of a record annual decline, though the FBI’s official 2025 report is not yet out.
  • CBP reports zero Border Patrol releases of migrants at the southern border over the past nine months, but CBS notes that some people who crossed unlawfully may have later been released by ICE and that “got‑aways” are not reflected in those figures.
  • BLS data show about 158.6 million people employed as of January 2026 (a record in absolute terms), yet the labor‑force participation rate is roughly unchanged at 62.5% compared with December 2024, meaning the share of Americans working has not improved under Trump’s second term.

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February 25, 2026
3:00 AM
Fact checking Trump's 2026 State of the Union address
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