Van Epps sworn in, GOP at 220 seats; Greene exit to cut majority to 219
Matt Van Epps was sworn into the House on Dec. 4 after winning the Tennessee 7th District special election by about 54%–45% in a contest marked by heavy outside spending (including large MAGA Inc. buys) and high‑profile surrogates and rallies from both parties. His seating brings Republicans to 220 seats (Democrats 213, with two vacancies); Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s planned resignation next month would cut the GOP majority to 219.
📌 Key Facts
- Republican Matt Van Epps won the TN-07 special election on Dec. 2, 2025 (final vote roughly 54%–45%, about a 9-point margin) and was ceremonially sworn in on the House floor Dec. 4 by Speaker Mike Johnson less than 48 hours after the victory; Van Epps pledged to advance President Trump’s “America First” agenda and was accompanied by his wife and daughter (he took the oath on his daughter’s hot‑pink Bible).
- The seat was vacated after Rep. Mark Green resigned in June; the district is strongly Republican (Green won by ~21 points in 2024 and Trump carried it by ~22).
- Van Epps’s win moved Republicans to 220 House seats; reports show Democrats at 213 with two vacancies (NJ-11 and TX-18). Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene has said she will resign early next month, which would reduce the GOP to 219; special election dates cited for the vacancies include TX-18 on Jan. 31 and NJ-11 in April.
- Outside groups poured heavy money into the race — FEC/AdImpact tallies and reporting put total outside spending in TN-7 above $6.5 million, with roughly two‑thirds of super PAC spending occurring in the final two weeks; MAGA Inc. spent more than $1 million (reported as $1.5–$1.6M in some accounts) — its first campaign expenditure since last year’s presidential race — and House Majority PAC spent about $1 million for Democrat Aftyn Behn while other groups (Club for Growth, Conservatives for American Excellence, Your Community PAC) also made six‑ and seven‑figure buys.
- High‑profile surrogates and leader involvement was extensive: President Trump phoned in multiple tele‑rallies and called the district; Speaker Mike Johnson, RNC chair Joe Gruters, Sen. Marsha Blackburn, Gov. Bill Lee and other GOP figures campaigned for Van Epps; Democrats sent Kamala Harris, DNC chair Ken Martin, Al Gore and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez (among others) to support Behn.
- Campaign messaging centered on affordability and taxation (AdImpact found taxation the most‑mentioned ad topic). Van Epps emphasized cost‑of‑living and his military record in closing ads; Behn’s final ads targeted grocery and health‑care costs and tariffs. Democrats also criticized Van Epps over his position on releasing Epstein‑related documents.
- Polls and turnout dynamics: an Emerson College poll showed Van Epps leading by about 2 points pre‑election; early/absentee returns were reported favoring Republicans (46%–40% in a Baker Group memo). Both parties worried that post‑Thanksgiving timing and low turnout could affect the result and ran intensive GOTV programs.
📊 Analysis & Commentary (3)
"A WSJ opinion piece argues that Aftyn Behn’s progressive profile makes her an ideal Republican target in Tennessee’s red 7th District, explaining why the special election turned into a surprising, competitive cliffhanger and underscoring the importance of candidate fit in local races."
"The Politico Playbook column analyzes the Tennessee special-election result — matching reporting that Matt Van Epps won the TN‑7 race — and argues that while the GOP technically held the seat, the sharply reduced margin is a worrying sign of a broader Democratic swing that GOP leaders have yet to counter."
"A conservative commentary on the Van Epps special‑election win that acknowledges the GOP held the seat but argues the slim margin—driven by in‑migration to Nashville and energized progressive voters—signals a worrying trend for Republicans and underscores the need to avoid complacency."
📰 Sources (13)
- Van Epps delivered first floor remarks pledging to advance President Trump's 'America First' agenda and 'deliver' for voters.
- Speaker Mike Johnson noted Van Epps took the oath on his daughter's hot pink Bible; his wife Meg Wrather and daughter Amelia accompanied him.
- Article specifies House composition as 220 Republicans, 213 Democrats, with two vacancies in New Jersey and Texas.
- Contrasts the swift seating with a seven-week delay for Democrat Adelita Grijalva, whom Johnson declined to swear in during the shutdown.
- Election context: Van Epps won by ~9 points, compared with the prior GOP member's +21 (2024) and Trump's +22 margin in the district in 2024.
- Matt Van Epps was sworn in on the House floor Dec. 4, 2025 by Speaker Mike Johnson, less than 48 hours after his special-election victory.
- House balance is now 220 Republicans and 213 Democrats, with two Democratic seats currently vacant.
- Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene will resign early next month, which will reduce Republicans to 219 seats.
- Special elections to fill the vacant Democratic seats: TX-18 on Jan. 31 and NJ-11 in April.
- Final vote share: Matt Van Epps 54% to Aftyn Behn 45% (roughly a 9‑point margin) in a district Trump carried by 22 points in 2024.
- Updated House balance: Republicans now hold a 220–214 majority after the win.
- AdImpact data: Taxation was the most‑mentioned topic in advertising from both campaigns.
- Trump’s postelection messaging: He called affordability concerns "a Democrat scam" and claimed his administration had "stopped inflation in its tracks."
- MAGA Inc.’s spend in the race was its first campaign expenditure since last year’s presidential race.
- House Majority PAC invested $1 million backing Democrat Aftyn Behn.
- GOP chair Joe Gruters joined Speaker Mike Johnson to rally in Tennessee on Monday; Trump conducted a phone address plus a second tele‑rally for Van Epps.
- Van Epps won a crowded October primary with a late Trump endorsement and told Trump, “I will have your back 100%.”
- Associated Press called the race for Republican Matt Van Epps over Democrat Aftyn Behn.
- Republicans retain Tennessee’s 7th District, a must-win for the GOP’s narrow House majority.
- Former Rep. Mark Green resigned in June to take a private-sector job, creating the vacancy.
- House Speaker Mike Johnson campaigned with Van Epps on Election Eve; both national parties and outside groups poured resources into the race.
- Republican nominee Matt Van Epps claims 'great turnout for us' and says 'we were up in early voting.'
- House Speaker Mike Johnson spent the entire Election Eve with Van Epps across the district; he was joined by RNC chair Joe Gruters.
- Democratic nominee Aftyn Behn tells supporters the race has 'already won over hearts and minds' and that the electorate is shifting to accept a progressive track record.
- Trump phoned into a Franklin, TN rally and held a separate virtual rally for GOP nominee Matt Van Epps, with two call‑ins on Monday ahead of the vote.
- House Speaker Mike Johnson personally headlined rallies in the district, including an event at a Franklin farm garage with vintage cars.
- Democratic surrogates Al Gore and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez participated in a virtual rally for Aftyn Behn; AP includes new quotes from both.
- Additional GOP support noted: national party chair Joe Gruters, Gov. Bill Lee, and Sens. Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty appeared for Van Epps.
- Republicans cited turnout concerns tied to early voting over Thanksgiving week and the post‑holiday election timing.
- Election Day for Tennessee’s 7th District special is Dec. 2, 2025, with voting underway.
- MAGA Inc. has spent more than $1 million backing Republican Matt Van Epps, marking its first spend since last year’s presidential race.
- House Majority PAC has put $1 million behind Democrat Aftyn Behn.
- Trump addressed supporters by phone and held a second general‑election tele‑rally for Van Epps on the eve of the vote.
- Turnout concerns noted due to early voting overlapping Thanksgiving week and a Tuesday election immediately after the holiday.
- FEC data: Outside groups have spent more than $6.5 million in TN‑7, including over $1.6 million from MAGA Inc.
- Roughly two‑thirds of super PAC spending occurred in the last two weeks of the race.
- List of high‑profile surrogates: Kamala Harris and DNC Chair Ken Martin canvassed for Behn; Al Gore and Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez led a Zoom rally; Speaker Mike Johnson held a Monday GOTV rally for Van Epps with Trump calling in.
- Campaign messaging focus: both candidates emphasize affordability; ad specifics from Van Epps and Behn on prices, jobs, health care, and tariffs.
- Trump quote from tele‑rally dismissing Democrats’ affordability focus as a “con job.”
- President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson will hold a joint Monday evening tele‑rally for GOP nominee Matt Van Epps; Johnson will do multiple in‑district events earlier that day.
- An Emerson College poll shows Van Epps leading Democrat Aftyn Behn by 2 points in TN‑07.
- MAGA Inc. has spent more than $1.5 million; Conservatives for American Excellence and Club for Growth Action have made six‑figure buys; House Majority PAC and Your Community PAC have spent about $1 million combined.
- The RNC has launched a get‑out‑the‑vote program for the race.
- Early and absentee voting favors Republicans 46% to 40%, according to a memo from Baker Group Strategies.
- Democrats are attacking Van Epps over his stance on releasing Epstein‑related documents.
- The post‑Thanksgiving timing could depress turnout, a dynamic campaigns are factoring into strategy.
- Both parties are flooding the race with late money and ads; MAGA Inc. and Club for Growth each placed seven‑figure ad buys.
- Republican nominee Matt Van Epps is centering a cost‑of‑living message and military record in closing ads; Democrat Aftyn Behn’s final ad targets grocery, health‑care costs and tariffs.
- Vanderbilt political scientist John Greer says Republicans fear a possible upset in a normally safe R+22 seat.
- Article underscores the GOP’s current 219–213 House margin and describes the district’s geography (central/western TN, parts of Nashville).
- MAGA Inc. has reported more than $1 million in spending supporting GOP nominee Matt Van Epps — its first campaign involvement since last year’s presidential race.
- Former Vice President Kamala Harris appeared in Nashville for a canvassing kickoff while on her book tour; DCCC said it hadn’t invited her and she did not appear with Democrat Aftyn Behn.
- Rep. Tim Burchett warned of low-turnout risks over Thanksgiving timing and urged additional GOP mobilization; Republicans have asked President Trump to campaign in-state after his virtual rally.
- DNC deputy executive director Libby Schneider said a strong Behn showing would aid Democrats’ 2026 House efforts, citing recent special election overperformance.
- Race context updated: TN-7 was won by retiring Rep. Mark Green by 21 points in 2024; both Trump and Green posted similar margins.