A 2025 Climate Central analysis found that the ocean waters over which Hurricane Melissa rapidly intensified were 1.4°C (2.5°F) warmer than average and that such warm-water conditions were made up to 700 times more likely because of human-caused climate change.
October 27, 2025
high
statistical
Attribution analysis linking anomalously warm ocean temperatures to human-caused climate change during rapid hurricane intensification.
A 2025 Climate Central analysis projected that unusually warm ocean temperatures combined with broader tropical climate warming increased Hurricane Melissa's top wind speed by about 10 mph and raised its potential damages by up to 50%.
October 27, 2025
high
statistical
Projection estimating the influence of anomalously warm ocean temperatures and tropical warming on storm intensity and damages.
A 2025 Climate Central Climate Shift Index analysis estimated that human-caused climate change increased the odds of the observed Caribbean sea surface temperature anomalies by at least 500-fold.
October 26, 2025
high
temporal
Attribution analysis quantifying how much human-caused climate change altered the likelihood of observed sea surface temperature anomalies.
A 2025 Climate Central analysis using the Climate Shift Index estimated that human-caused climate change increased the odds of the Caribbean's unusual sea surface warmth by at least 500-fold.
October 26, 2025
high
temporal
Quantitative attribution of unusually warm sea surface temperatures to human-caused climate change using the Climate Shift Index.